FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT Cereal production estimated at above‑average level in 2026, supported by abundant seasonal rains Cereal import requirements forecast at below‑average level in 2026/27 amid high domestic production in 2026 Food inflation remains high in 2026 High food prices and humanitarian funding shortfall constrain food access for Syrians under temporary protection in 2026 Cereal production estimated at above‑average level in 2026, supported by abundant seasonal rains Harvesting of the 2026 winter wheat and barley has just been completed. According to the first official estimates, total cereal production in 2026 is estimated at 41.6 million tonnes, about 12 percent above the five‑year average, marking a significant rebound from the drought‑affected harvest in 2025. Wheat production is estimated at a record high of 22.8 million tonnes, about 16 percent above the average, while barley production is estimated at 9 million tonnes, about 20 percent above the five‑year average. Significantly above‑average precipitation amounts across all major producing regions during the January to May 2026 growing season provided favourable conditions for crop development and supported high yields. To support domestic cereal marketing and farmers’ incomes, the Turkish Grain Board (TMO) increased procurement prices in June 2026 to TRY 16 500/tonne for bread and durum wheat and TRY 12 750/tonne for barley, up by about 23 percent and 16 percent, respectively, from the previous year. Planting of the 2026 maize crop was completed by May and harvesting operations started in mid‑August. The harvest area is forecast to decline from the previous year, partly reflecting reduced plantings in water‑scarce areas and shifts towards less water‑intensive crops, including wheat, oilseeds and vegetables. Maize production is officially forecast at 8 million tonnes, close to the five‑year average and about 6 percent below the previous year’s output. Cereal import requirements forecast at below‑ave